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Friday Challenge: The One-Assumption Challenge

Writer: Michael Grismore
Michael Grismore
2 minutes ago
2 min read

It's Friday.


And you know what that means.


I've got homework for you.


This week, I want you to question something your organization believes to be true.


Something you've heard in meetings.


Something that's influenced decisions.


Something everyone seems to agree on.


For example:


"Our customers care most about price."


"Nobody reads our emails."


"Friday is our slowest sales day."


"Our employees prefer working independently."


"That product just doesn't sell."


Now ask one question:


"How do we actually know that's true?"


Because sometimes the most expensive decisions begin with assumptions nobody bothered to question.


When an Opinion Becomes a Fact


Imagine a business that believes customers aren't interested in its premium products.


Why?


Because someone said so three years ago.


Since then, the company has reduced its premium inventory, stopped promoting those products and focused almost entirely on lower-priced alternatives.


But what if customer preferences have changed?


What if the premium products weren't selling because they weren't being promoted?


What if customers were purchasing premium alternatives from competitors?


The company may have spent years making decisions based on a belief it never properly tested.


An assumption repeated often enough can start sounding like evidence.


But repetition doesn't make something true.


Your Friday Assignment


Choose one assumption your organization currently operates under.


Then put it to the test.


1. IDENTIFY IT.


What does your organization believe?


Write it down as a clear statement.


2. FIND ITS SOURCE.


Where did the belief originate?


Was it based on customer research, actual performance data, employee observations or simply someone's opinion?


3. CHECK THE EVIDENCE.


What do your current numbers show?


Look for information that supports the assumption—and information that challenges it.


4. TEST IT.


If the evidence is inconclusive, design one small experiment.


Try a different promotion.


Survey a group of customers.


Test another schedule.


Compare two approaches.


5. DECIDE.


Should the organization keep operating under this assumption?


Modify it?


Or abandon it entirely?


You don't have to solve the issue in one afternoon. Your assignment is to identify the assumption and take the first meaningful step toward verifying it.


Don't Confuse Experience With Evidence


Experience is valuable.


So is intuition.


Good leaders use both.


But even experienced professionals can hold beliefs that no longer reflect reality.


Markets change.


Customers change.


Technology changes.


Employees change.


And businesses that never revisit their assumptions risk making tomorrow's decisions with yesterday's beliefs.


The goal isn't to question everything endlessly.


It's to recognize when an important decision deserves more than "That's how we've always understood it."


Final Thought


Some of your organization's assumptions are probably correct.


Others may be costing you customers, revenue, time or opportunities.


The challenge is knowing the difference.


So before the weekend, find one assumption worth investigating.


Ask where it came from.


Look at the evidence.


And determine whether it still deserves your confidence.


One assumption. One investigation. One better-informed decision.


That's your Friday Challenge.


Champions don't guess. Neither should your business.



 
 
 

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